      ᪨ 㤠⢥ 孨᪩ 㭨




               த ࠡ  ⥬:


                    
                     



      㪮⥫: ᥭ ..
      ᯮ⥫:  ન ..
                    娭 ..


                         1995

                           

        ࠡ ࠧࠡ⠭ ਣ쭩  室  
஡ ண஢,   ᭮ ஭ ⥩.  
஭  ᭮  ⬥ ⭮  㭪樮஢-
, 뫨 ண஢      ⭮-
  ࠨ᪮ ࡮. ᯥਬ  訥 १
 ⮢୮. ࠡ⠭  ண஢  
ਬ   ண஢ 㣨  ᪨  -
.

                           ANNOTATION

     In this diploma work the original approach  to  forecasting
problem  is developed.  This approach based of neural nets mode-
ling.  By the book propogation neural net,  relative change rate
for  USD/UKB  was predicted.  The elaboration was successful and
profitable.  The model developed for problem  discussed  may  be
successfuly used of a number of management solution forecasting.

                        

      - ᫨⥫쭠 孨;
      - ⢥ ⥫;
      - ஢ ன⢮;
      - ᯥ⭠ ⥬;
      - ஭ ;
      -  ;
     - ⭮⥫쭮  ;
  % - ⭮⥫쭮    業;
DM      - 檠 ઠ;
SUR     - ᨩ᪨ 㡫;
USD     - ਪ᪨ ;
UKB     - ࠨ᪨ ࡮.

                  

1.  ஭   室 㭪樨.
2.  ஭ ⥩.
3. 奬 祭    㭪樮஢.
4. ⭮⥫쭮    1995.
5.     ண  1995.
6. 䨪 裡   । .
